BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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NC State
Class: 1 Class Rank: 29 Overall: (21-11) Overall Strength = 58.89
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (13-6) | District: 1-01 Record: (14-10)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Neutral W * 64.56 80 77 1 24 (16-14) Tennessee 4.31 -1.31
2 11-09-2025 Neutral L * 59.62 68 69 1 25 (18-14) Southern Cal -0.63 -0.37
3 11-11-2025 Home W 51.18 66 47 1 164 (19-13) Maine -9.07 * 28.07
4 11-16-2025 Home L * 52.65 59 69 1 17 (32- 6) TCU -7.59 -2.41
5 11-19-2025 Home W 47.25 71 58 1 136 (14-18) Coastal Car -13.00 26.00
6 11-23-2025 Home L 41.11 63 68 1 59 (28- 5) Rhode Island -19.14 14.14
7 11-27-2025 Neutral W 54.12 79 67 1 92 (25- 9) WI Green Bay -6.12 18.12
8 11-28-2025 Neutral W 86.39 110 56 1 178 (15-16) Southern Miss 26.14 * 27.86
9 12-03-2025 Away L * 65.67 98 103 1 1 11 (26- 8) Oklahoma 5.43 -10.43
10 12-07-2025 Home W 52.18 61 53 1 64 (19-13) Seton Hall -8.07 16.07
11 12-14-2025 Away W * * 79.10 87 61 1 52 (18-15) Miami FL 18.85 7.15
12 12-18-2025 Home W * * 72.83 87 58 1 66 (14-19) Georgia Tech 12.58 16.42
13 12-21-2025 Away W 56.47 68 59 1 76 (21-12) Davidson -3.77 12.77
14 01-01-2026 Home W * * 77.80 74 46 1 45 (21-14) Stanford 17.55 10.45
15 01-04-2026 Home W * * 59.83 71 60 1 50 (21-15) California -0.42 11.42
16 01-08-2026 Away L * * 46.06 65 75 1 41 (21-12) Clemson -14.19 4.19
17 01-11-2026 Home W * 65.10 91 54 1 191 ( 9-21) SMU 4.85 * 32.15
18 01-15-2026 Away W * * 59.06 95 77 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest -1.18 19.18
19 01-18-2026 Home L * * 55.47 80 88 1 1 8 (29- 8) Louisville -4.78 -3.22
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 60.18 78 76 1 1 39 (22-12) Virginia -0.07 2.07
21 01-29-2026 Away W * * 55.35 106 84 1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College -4.90 * 26.90
22 02-02-2026 Home L * * 59.01 59 61 1 16 (28- 8) North Carolina -1.24 -0.76
23 02-05-2026 Home W * * 67.64 83 55 1 107 (10-21) Florida St 7.40 20.60
24 02-08-2026 Away W * * 76.78 82 62 1 35 (23-10) Virginia Tech 16.53 3.47
25 02-15-2026 Away L * * 53.19 67 79 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame -7.06 -4.94
26 02-19-2026 Away L * * 53.25 65 83 1 9 (27- 9) Duke -6.99 -11.01
27 02-22-2026 Home W * * 64.23 82 69 1 40 (24- 9) Syracuse 3.98 9.02
28 02-26-2026 Home W * * 44.69 65 56 1 113 (14-18) Wake Forest -15.56 24.56
29 03-01-2026 Away W * * 79.74 93 43 1 241 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh 19.49 * 30.51
30 03-06-2026 Neutral L * * 44.50 63 81 1 20 (25-11) Notre Dame -15.75 -2.25
31 03-20-2026 Neutral W * 76.56 76 61 1 24 (16-14) Tennessee 16.31 -1.31
32 03-22-2026 Away L * 46.36 63 92 1 6 (28- 7) Michigan -13.89 -15.11
Averages 60.25 76.7 67.1
Best game: 86.39 = 54 point win over Southern Miss
Worst game: 41.11 = 5 point loss to Rhode Island
Team stdev: 11.90