BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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NC State
Class: 1 Class Rank: 29 Overall: (20-10) Overall Strength = 58.50
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (13-6) | District: 1-01 Record: (13-9)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-04-2025 Neutral W * 64.88 80 77 1 23 (16-13) Tennessee 4.93 -1.93
2 11-09-2025 Neutral L * 60.22 68 69 1 24 (17-13) Southern Cal 0.28 -1.28
3 11-11-2025 Home W 50.82 66 47 1 164 (19-12) Maine -9.13 * 28.13
4 11-16-2025 Home L * 52.64 59 69 1 16 (29- 5) TCU -7.30 -2.70
5 11-19-2025 Home W 46.80 71 58 1 137 (14-18) Coastal Car -13.14 26.14
6 11-23-2025 Home L 40.89 63 68 1 58 (28- 4) Rhode Island -19.06 14.06
7 11-27-2025 Neutral W 53.62 79 67 1 93 (24- 8) WI Green Bay -6.33 18.33
8 11-28-2025 Neutral W 85.91 110 56 1 183 (15-16) Southern Miss 25.96 * 28.04
9 12-03-2025 Away L * 65.65 98 103 1 1 10 (24- 7) Oklahoma 5.70 -10.70
10 12-07-2025 Home W 52.66 61 53 1 62 (19-12) Seton Hall -7.29 15.29
11 12-14-2025 Away W * * 78.74 87 61 1 53 (17-14) Miami FL 18.80 7.20
12 12-18-2025 Home W * * 72.58 87 58 1 67 (14-18) Georgia Tech 12.63 16.37
13 12-21-2025 Away W 56.20 68 59 1 76 (21-12) Davidson -3.75 12.75
14 01-01-2026 Home W * * 78.42 74 46 1 41 (19-13) Stanford 18.47 9.53
15 01-04-2026 Home W * * 59.78 71 60 1 49 (19-14) California -0.17 11.17
16 01-08-2026 Away L * * 45.56 65 75 1 40 (21-11) Clemson -14.39 4.39
17 01-11-2026 Home W * 64.91 91 54 1 190 ( 9-21) SMU 4.96 * 32.04
18 01-15-2026 Away W * * 59.55 95 77 1 109 (14-17) Wake Forest -0.40 18.40
19 01-18-2026 Home L * * 56.07 80 88 1 1 8 (27- 7) Louisville -3.87 -4.13
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 58.88 78 76 1 1 44 (19-11) Virginia -1.06 3.06
21 01-29-2026 Away W * * 54.93 106 84 1 203 ( 5-26) Boston College -5.01 * 27.01
22 02-02-2026 Home L * * 58.25 59 61 1 18 (26- 7) North Carolina -1.70 -0.30
23 02-05-2026 Home W * * 67.41 83 55 1 107 (10-21) Florida St 7.46 20.54
24 02-08-2026 Away W * * 76.55 82 62 1 35 (23- 9) Virginia Tech 16.61 3.39
25 02-15-2026 Away L * * 51.96 67 79 1 25 (22-10) Notre Dame -7.99 -4.01
26 02-19-2026 Away L * * 52.37 65 83 1 12 (24- 8) Duke -7.58 -10.42
27 02-22-2026 Home W * * 64.22 82 69 1 39 (23- 8) Syracuse 4.27 8.73
28 02-26-2026 Home W * * 45.26 65 56 1 109 (14-17) Wake Forest -14.69 23.69
29 03-01-2026 Away W * * 79.37 93 43 1 240 ( 8-23) Pittsburgh 19.42 * 30.58
30 03-06-2026 Neutral L * * 43.31 63 81 1 25 (22-10) Notre Dame -16.64 -1.36
Averages 59.95 77.2 66.5
Best game: 85.91 = 54 point win over Southern Miss
Worst game: 40.89 = 5 point loss to Rhode Island
Team stdev: 11.72