BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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NC State

Class: 1 Class Rank: 22 Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength =   63.62
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (1-0) | District: 1-01 Record: (2-3)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Neutral W   *  70.77  80  77    1  27 ( 7- 2) Tennessee               7.21     -4.21                      
 2 11-09-2025 Neutral L   *  65.76  68  69    1  20 ( 7- 3) Southern Cal            2.20     -3.20                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    W      50.35  66  47    1 211 ( 4- 8) Maine                 -13.21 *   32.21                      
 4 11-16-2025 Home    L   *  59.27  59  69    1   7 (11- 0) TCU                    -4.29     -5.71                      
 5 11-19-2025 Home    W      51.87  71  58    1 182 ( 6- 5) Coastal Car           -11.69 *   24.69                      
 6 11-23-2025 Home    L      42.77  63  68    1  67 ( 9- 2) Rhode Island          -20.79     15.79                      
 7 11-27-2025 Neutral W      58.39  79  67    1  82 ( 8- 4) WI Green Bay           -5.17     17.17                      
 8 11-28-2025 Neutral W      87.98 110  56    1 160 ( 7- 4) Southern Miss          24.42 *   29.58                      
 9 12-03-2025 Away    L   *  68.77  98 103 1  1   9 (11- 1) Oklahoma                5.21    -10.21                      
10 12-07-2025 Home    W      58.81  61  53    1  48 ( 6- 3) Seton Hall             -4.75     12.75                      
11 12-14-2025 Away    W * *  84.43  87  61    1  51 ( 6- 4) Miami FL               20.87      5.13                      
12 12/18/2025 Home      * *                   1 114 ( 4- 8) Georgia Tech                     24.75            
13 12/21/2025 Away                            1  55 ( 7- 4) Davidson                          8.90            
14 01/01/2026 Home      * *                   1  40 ( 9- 2) Stanford                         10.37            
15 01/04/2026 Home      * *                   1  73 ( 8- 4) California                       17.28            
16 01/08/2026 Away      * *                   1  46 ( 7- 4) Clemson                           7.45            
17 01/11/2026 Home      *                     1 124 ( 5- 6) SMU                              25.58            
18 01/15/2026 Away      * *                   1 147 (10- 2) Wake Forest                      22.40            
19 01/18/2026 Home      * *                   1  12 (10- 3) Louisville                       -3.19            
20 01/25/2026 Away      * *                   1  49 ( 8- 3) Virginia                          7.83            
21 01/29/2026 Away      * *                   1 191 ( 4- 9) Boston College                   26.81            
22 02/02/2026 Home      * *                   1  11 ( 9- 3) North Carolina                   -3.29            
23 02/05/2026 Home      * *                   1 144 ( 4- 8) Florida St                       27.61            
24 02/08/2026 Away      * *                   1  41 ( 9- 3) Virginia Tech                     5.35            
25 02/15/2026 Away      * *                   1  17 ( 8- 2) Notre Dame                       -3.93            
26 02/19/2026 Away      * *                   1  34 ( 4- 6) Duke                              2.71            
27 02/22/2026 Home      * *                   1  38 ( 9- 1) Syracuse                          9.61            
28 02/26/2026 Home      * *                   1 147 (10- 2) Wake Forest                      27.72            
29 03/01/2026 Away      * *                   1 248 ( 6- 6) Pittsburgh                       32.29            
      Averages              63.56  76.5 66.2

Best game:   87.98 = 54 point win over Southern Miss
Worst game:  42.77 = 5 point loss to Rhode Island
Team stdev:  13.88